Andrei Jikh: BTC will fall

Said on Nov 21, 2025, at 5:20 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“That means we are on around October 5th, 2026 when Bitcoin could reach the all-time low of this cycle.”
Watch at 5:20Why Everything Is Selling Off (Starting With Bitcoin)
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$85,129

Nov 21, 2025

Price at close

$77,552

May 20, 2026

Return

−8.9%

S&P 500 +13.1%

BTC closed at $85,129 on Nov 21, 2025. On May 20, 2026 it closed at $77,552, a return of −8.9%. SPY returned +13.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Aug 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 21, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 21, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$85,129Nov 21, 2025$88,659Dec 21, 2025+4.1%S&P 500 +3.6%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$85,129Nov 21, 2025$67,004Feb 19, 2026−21.3%S&P 500 +4.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$85,129Nov 21, 2025$77,552May 20, 2026−8.9%S&P 500 +13.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 21, 2026——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 20, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 20, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $85,129 on Nov 21, 2025. On Dec 21, 2025 it closed at $88,659, a return of +4.1%. SPY returned +3.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $85,129 on Nov 21, 2025. On Feb 19, 2026 it closed at $67,004, a return of −21.3%. SPY returned +4.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $85,129 on Nov 21, 2025. On May 20, 2026 it closed at $77,552, a return of −8.9%. SPY returned +13.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 21, 2026.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 20, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 20, 2030.

What was said around it

1,50ish days. And then in 2017, from the all-time high to the all-time low, it took Bitcoin about a year, 364 days. Then in 2018, from the all-time low to the all-time high, it took again 1,50ish days. And again, from the all-time high in 2021 to the all-time low, it took 364 days. Well, guess how long it took us to go from the all-time low to the all-time high in this cycle. 150 to 1,64-ish days. Which means if this pattern continues, we should reach the all-time low 364 days from our all-time high, which happened on October 6th of this year. That means we are on around October 5th, 2026 when Bitcoin could reach the all-time low of this cycle. Now, regardless of what you think about these kinds of things, I think it's extremely compelling, and I don't think we should ignore it. That's just technical force explanation number one. There's a second thing we should look at. Now, before I explain it though, here's something else I've been personally doing to keep stacking SATs while all of this plays out with the Gemini credit card, the sponsor of this segment. It's a card I've been using for a while now. All opinions are my own, and they were not influenced by Gemini. I use it like any

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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