Why: 30 days
ETH closed at $1,829 on Aug 7, 2023. On Sep 6, 2023 it closed at $1,633, a return of −10.7%. SPY returned −1.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
ETH closed at $1,829 on Aug 7, 2023. On Nov 5, 2023 it closed at $1,892, a return of +3.4%. SPY returned −3.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
ETH closed at $1,829 on Aug 7, 2023. On Feb 3, 2024 it closed at $2,296, a return of +25.6%. SPY returned +10.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
ETH closed at $1,829 on Aug 7, 2023. On Aug 6, 2024 it closed at $2,461, a return of +34.6%. SPY returned +17.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
ETH closed at $1,829 on Aug 7, 2023. On Aug 6, 2026 it closed at $1,904, a return of +4.1%. SPY returned +77.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 5, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
ETH closed at $1,829 on Aug 7, 2023. On Sep 6, 2023 it closed at $1,633, a return of −10.7%. SPY returned −1.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.