Coin Bureau: ETH will rise

Said on Mar 6, 2024, at 20:19 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“naturally the same rule would apply to all the altcoins they could all surprise to the upside some of them already have”
Watch at 20:19Crypto Market Update: What’s Next For BITCOIN & Altcoins?!
PredictionETHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as altcoins, a word for a group: this call is judged on ETH, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$3,819

Mar 6, 2024

Price at close

$2,202

Mar 6, 2025

Return

−42.3%

S&P 500 +13.8%

ETH closed at $3,819 on Mar 6, 2024. On Mar 6, 2025 it closed at $2,202, a return of −42.3%. SPY returned +13.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Within band

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

ETHWindow checked
$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000$3,500$4,000$4,500Sep 2023Jan 2024May 2024Sep 2024Jan 2025May 2025Said on Mar 6, 2024
$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000$5,000Sep 2023Mar 2024Oct 2024May 2025Said on Mar 6, 2024

ETH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$3,819Mar 6, 2024$3,318Apr 5, 2024−13.1%S&P 500 +2.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Within band$3,819Mar 6, 2024$3,810Jun 4, 2024−0.2%S&P 500 +4.0%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$3,819Mar 6, 2024$2,538Sep 2, 2024−33.5%S&P 500 +11.3%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$3,819Mar 6, 2024$2,202Mar 6, 2025−42.3%S&P 500 +13.8%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 6, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 5, 2029——
Why: 30 days

ETH closed at $3,819 on Mar 6, 2024. On Apr 5, 2024 it closed at $3,318, a return of −13.1%. SPY returned +2.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

ETH closed at $3,819 on Mar 6, 2024. On Jun 4, 2024 it closed at $3,810, a return of −0.2%. SPY returned +4.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

ETH closed at $3,819 on Mar 6, 2024. On Sep 2, 2024 it closed at $2,538, a return of −33.5%. SPY returned +11.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

ETH closed at $3,819 on Mar 6, 2024. On Mar 6, 2025 it closed at $2,202, a return of −42.3%. SPY returned +13.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 6, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 5, 2029.

What was said around it

apply to btc's top Target for this crypto Market cycle So based on the diminishing returns BTC has seen over previous Cycles a historical analysis based on non-inflation adjusted prices gives you a BTC price of between 120 and 140 4K but if you factor in the 40% inflation that's been caused by all the money printing during the pandemic you end up with a BTC price of almost 200k at the cycle top as with the recent rally to all-time highs a rally to 200k would likely take most experienced crypto investors by surprise be they Wales or retail naturally the same rule would apply to all the altcoins they could all surprise to the upside some of them already have at the end of the day it's the disconnect between btc's price action and historical cycles that has people thinking this time is different this can be explained by plain old Fiat inflation in some then it's quite possible that the historical 4-year cycle is still intact there's just one piece that doesn't fit into this puzzle however and that's the buying by New trafi Wales those Dynamics are real regardless of the inflation adjusted numbers the thing is though that we've yet to see a proper correction let me remind you that since the

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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