Được nói ngày 18/07/2022, tại 2:24 trong video.
“so what the data suggests is that after the stock market drops 20 or more typically 12 months later of which so far we've seen a month of the stock market tends to recover”Không thể xác định chắc chắn hướng của dự đoán này, nên không tính vào điểm số.
Không thể xác định chắc chắn hướng của dự đoán này, nên không tính vào điểm số.
p 500 went into a bear market where it lost 20 percent year to date now here's a fun fact over the last 65 years dating back to october 21st 1957 we've had a grand total of 12 bear markets now over that time on average one month after a bear market the stock market has recovered 2.9 percent but that's just one month later check this out just three months later the stock market's median has been up 5.7 percent six months later the stock market was up 5.5 percent and one year later the stock market was up 23.9 so what the data suggests is that after the stock market drops 20 or more typically 12 months later of which so far we've seen a month of the stock market tends to recover but that's also not always been the case for example in 1973 we had the stock market still down 26.9 percent 12 months after a bear market in fact it didn't even recover to the pre-crash levels until six years later but that's also because the 70s was crazy we had an unwinnable war that we were facing an oil embargo on the us we had the nixon watergate scandal and we had a currency crisis which was the end of the bread and woods agreement where we got off the gold standard which started to devalue the dollar
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Graham StephanThị trường điều chỉnhsẽ xảy ra
“short-term, I would not be surprised if we see a 5 to 12% market drawdown just because of market uncertainty.”
03/09/2026 · sau 30 ngày
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“I tend to believe we're probably going to see some short-term panic selling, a lot of volatility, and then it's just going to slowly grind back to normal,”
03/08/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“I tend to believe we're probably going to see some short-term panic selling, a lot of volatility, and then it's just going to slowly grind back to normal,”
03/08/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“as expensive as everything is, and as much as there is the possibility that something happens that we haven't accounted for here in the market drops 30% as it stands right now.”
04/05/2026
Coin Bureaumột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“That alone suggests we're nearing a local top.”
01/11/2025
Coin BureauThị trường điều chỉnh— không chấm: quy tắc chỉ đọc thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ nói chung
“A moderate correction of 15 to 25% however is a much higher probability scenario given the extreme leverage in the system a flush out of this magnitude could easily be triggered by some negative macro news or a geopolitical headline.”
10/10/2025 · sau 1 năm
