Graham Stephan: một nhận định không rõ hướng

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

everybody. So, in terms of what this means for you, and what's most likely going to happen over these next few months, here's what you came for. And we should start with the biggest losers. Unfortunately, this next year is going to be extremely difficult, especially for first, those with debt. For example, credit cards, auto loans, personal loans, business loans, variable mortgage rates, all of that gets more expensive when rates stay higher for longer. Like, keep in mind that the average American carries thousands of dollars in credit card debt at rates already above 20%. That number is not going down anytime soon. On top of that, mortgage rates are now hitting 7% again. So, first-time buyers, or anyone getting debt today, is getting screwed. Second, growth stocks might suffer. Look, here's the math that most people don't consider. When interest rates rise, future profits become worth less in today's dollars. That means high multiple tech stocks, AI plays, speculative names, anything priced on earnings years from now gets repriced lower because today's rates pay more. Third, housing stays frozen. Keep in mind that mortgage rates are already hitting multi-decade highs. Warsh's plan to

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