“some macro analysts believe it's only a matter of time before government bonds start to Rally as they should during such circumstances”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất sẽ tăng
Được nói ngày 28/09/2022, tại 19:03 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
primary issue arising from the incorrect implementation of a coordinated monetary and fiscal policy I know this sounds insane but it's quite possible that extreme deflation is what comes next Once the inflation fight has been won according to the author's quote this scenario would argue for a preference of nominal bonds over inflation-linked instruments this is interesting because so far government bonds have failed to be the safe haven asset they typically are during downturns they've fallen in value along with everything else some macro analysts believe it's only a matter of time before government bonds start to Rally as they should during such circumstances I must admit I don't fully understand the reasoning there but it sounds like it's the same reasoning of the experts over at BlackRock what I'm wondering is what happens when the financial crisis comes it's easy to forget that the financial crisis being talked about in this research paper is the one that happened immediately after the pandemic hit what we seem to be facing now is something else entirely it's too soon to say how bad the next downturn will be but the last time we had a great depression the way we got out of it was
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
03/09/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suấtsẽ tăng
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
28/07/2026 · sau 1 năm
Andrei JikhLãi suấtsẽ tăng
“Either way, it looks like yields are going to go up.”
05/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất— không nêu hướng
“the government's just going to print more money while keeping interest rates as low as they possibly can.”
01/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Congressional Budget Office: Lãi suất sẽ tăng
“the Congressional Budget Office now projects interest will reach $2.1 trillion a year by 2036,”
01/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suấtsẽ tăng
“But it is especially bad when the riskfree rate, meaning what you can get today from a government bond is sitting at above 5%. It's probably going higher.”
26/05/2026 · sau 1 năm