As of Oct 31, 2026, Callsight counts 1 call about the yield curve that a tracked channel made itself, checked against the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread on FRED. It has no one-year verdict; its card says why and shows its words and date.
Own predictions
1
0 up · 0 down
Correct / incorrect after 1 year
✓ 0 Correct/✗ 0 Incorrect
plus 0 partly correct and 0 within band. Every call counted, repeats included.
Still open
0
Windows not yet closed
Yield curve and the predictions about it
T10Y2Y · levelRecession (NBER)Called upCalled down
10-year minus 2-year Treasury yield: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. Grey bands are recessions.
“so far the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond is floating somewhere around 2% and the federal fund rate at 0.25%. So, on the surface, it looks like it's dangerously close to dropping below that horizontal line, but personally, I don't think it will. I don't think we're going to invert,”
What have finance YouTubers predicted about the yield curve?
As of Oct 31, 2026, Callsight counts 1 call about the yield curve that a tracked channel made itself, checked against the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread on FRED. It has no one-year verdict; its card says why and shows its words and date.
How is a call about the yield curve checked?
Against the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread on FRED, using each value as it was first published rather than later revisions, at 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, by fixed rules that are the same for every channel.
Is this investment advice?
No. This is a record of what people said in public and what happened next. Nothing here tells you to buy or sell anything.
Every count on this page includes repeats: a call made again in a later video counts again, so the counts can differ from a channel's record, which counts each distinct call once.
